Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-1.4K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 14

YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
2106 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026
$0.00
$-21.06
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
1642 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026
$0.00
$-523.34
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
1496 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026
$0.00
$-211.36
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
1287 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026
$0.00
$-119.72
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
979 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026
$0.00
$-59.95
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
700 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026
$0.00
$-97.99
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026
$0.00
$-10.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
460 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026
$0.00
$-59.81
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
431 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026
$0.00
$-99.22
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
310 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026
$0.00
$-98.82

Recent activity

MAKER_REBATE$0.07Feb 12, 00:06 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$20.65Feb 11, 16:37 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$20.65Feb 11, 16:27 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$561.70Feb 11, 16:17 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$60.00Feb 11, 15:51 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$12.12Feb 11, 15:41 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$96.90Feb 11, 15:39 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$20.00Feb 11, 15:29 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$92.30Feb 11, 15:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$100.00Feb 11, 15:25 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$0.67Feb 11, 14:57 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$70.00Feb 11, 14:51 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$444.02Feb 11, 14:03 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$60.00Feb 11, 13:52 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$376.32Feb 11, 13:29 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$200.00Feb 11, 13:16 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$10.00Feb 11, 13:12 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$100.00Feb 11, 12:57 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$442.20Feb 11, 12:42 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$220.00Feb 11, 12:32 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry21 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk54 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 48
Avg trade size: $56.62
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 11, 00:18 UTC
Last active: Feb 12, 00:06 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 11:45:44 UTC·src:Polymarket Data