Black-Plate
0x715d02c2fb5f2d6a202a6b0f3bbb329c442d8449
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$5.85
Total PnL
$-454.97
Realised
$-21.14
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$3.70
$2.70
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
23 shares @ 8.6¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.83
$-0.17
- YES
OKX IPO in 2026?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.21
$-0.79
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.06
$-0.94
- YES
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.05
$-0.95
- YES
Will AVANZA win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?
4777 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-34.99
- YES
Will Gerardo Fabricio Alvarado Muñoz win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
4521 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-27.19
- YES
Will Fernando Zamora Castellanos win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
2675 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-31.72
- YES
Will Luis Esteban Amador Jiménez win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
2543 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-30.47
- YES
Will José Miguel Aguilar Berrocal win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
1504 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-122.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.13May 17, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$8.00Feb 1, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$5.00Feb 1, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$8.00Feb 1, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$25.00Feb 1, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$2.00Jan 31, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$1.53Jan 31, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$4.00Jan 31, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester United finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$3.96Jan 31, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$3.00Jan 29, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$0.97Jan 29, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$2.11Jan 29, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Miguel Aguilar Berrocal win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$1.00Jan 23, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$8.00Jan 23, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PNR win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$7.00Jan 23, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?$12.05Jan 22, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?$4.00Jan 22, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$3.00Jan 22, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Miguel Aguilar Berrocal win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?$6.00Jan 22, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$3.00Jan 22, 21:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 15:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 03:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.