Likely-Spyglass
0x715e95aff2a6d8a0cbd8b0558f389febe85dee36
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$59.56
Total PnL
$-31.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 7?
26 shares @ 36.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 7, 2026$13.88
$4.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 7?
26 shares @ 45.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$9.62
$-2.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on May 5?
6 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$6.38
$4.91
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 7?
24 shares @ 15.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 7, 2026$5.01
$1.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 5?
9 shares @ 13.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp May 5, 2026$4.47
$3.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 6?
15 shares @ 8.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$3.07
$1.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 7?
22 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$2.64
$-0.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 7?
18 shares @ 12.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp May 7, 2026$2.24
$0.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 6?
13 shares @ 14.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$1.93
$0.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 6?
5 shares @ 8.0¢·now 31.3¢·exp May 6, 2026$1.70
$1.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on May 7?$0.4743m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on May 6?$1.881h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 5?$1.422h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on May 5?$0.482h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on May 5?$1.702h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 5?$0.962h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on May 6?$0.734h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on May 7?$0.284h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 5?$1.615h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 5?$0.886h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May 7?$2.246h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 7?$2.987h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 5?$0.607h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on May 7?$3.828h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C or higher on May 5?$7.368h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 7?$12.028h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 7?$9.828h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 6?$0.448h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 4?$19.699h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or higher on May 4?$6.959h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 43m ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".