Upright-Jellyfish
0x7160798fc5ace2b23ac13b0788c282a9e3826780
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$6.43
Total PnL
$-28.27
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on July 12?
2085 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$3.13
$-1.04
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2 shares @ 95.4¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.33
$0.06
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.2¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 11?
2029 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.06
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $1,850 on July 10?
2027 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.05
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on February 10?
1088 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.26
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 25?
1082 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on February 15?
1064 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on February 3?
1061 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.37
- YES
Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on March 14?
1055 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on July 12?$0.10Jul 12, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on July 12?$4.07Jul 12, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 11?$4.06Jul 11, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,850 on July 10?$4.05Jul 11, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $63,000 on July 8?$2.1KJul 9, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $63,000 on July 8?$2.1KJul 9, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 8?$2.1KJul 8, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 8?$2.1KJul 8, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on July 7?$2.1KJul 8, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on July 7?$2.1KJul 8, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on July 7?$2.1KJul 7, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on July 7?$2.1KJul 7, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 6?$2.1KJul 6, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 6?$2.1KJul 6, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 5?$2.1KJul 6, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 5?$2.1KJul 6, 02:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 5?$2.1KJul 5, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 5?$2.0KJul 5, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 2?$9.36Jul 2, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 2?$9.30Jul 2, 08:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $453.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 05:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 09:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.