Dangerous-Tussle
0x716c84d2c95bea145da0784ac056733ecfa2a5c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$265.24
Total PnL
$-59.07
Realised
$-9.33
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
171 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$171.00
$3.42
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
53 shares @ 91.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$53.00
$4.50
- SYRACUSE ORANGE
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange
28 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$28.00
$14.28
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?
5 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$5.00
$3.70
- YES
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
3 shares @ 82.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.00
$0.53
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.00
$0.99
- NO
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
2 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.00
$1.32
- YES
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
12 shares @ 17.2¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.24
$-1.82
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
142 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-3.04
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
140 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-12.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSaint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange$13.72Jan 15, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?$1.30Jan 15, 01:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 15, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?$3.40Jan 15, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?$5.88Jan 14, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$2.47Jan 14, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?$2.01Jan 14, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026?$12.80Jan 14, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026?$10.88Jan 14, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026?$3.42Jan 14, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 19, 2026?$10.64Jan 14, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.28Jan 14, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$6.12Jan 14, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel annex any territory by June 30?$0.69Jan 14, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel annex any territory by June 30?$1.38Jan 14, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$18.63Jan 14, 12:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 12, 00:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 10, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $6.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 00:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 01:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".