0x7170a0fcf380a1111c9db18642bd87591f956fe9
0x7170a0fcf380a1111c9db18642bd87591f956fe9
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$8.14
Total PnL
$-42.87
Realised
$-9.23
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 71°F or below on March 27?
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$5.00
$0.70
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
3 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.14
$1.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on April 17?
1067 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on April 17?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 16?
276 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on April 17?
98 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 16?
40 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 27?
25 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on March 28?
25 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.39
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
23 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.38
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on April 17?$0.00Jun 11, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on April 17?$0.00Apr 17, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on April 17?$0.74Apr 17, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on April 17?$0.04Apr 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on April 17?$0.18Apr 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on April 17?$0.03Apr 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on April 17?$0.03Apr 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on April 17?$0.01Apr 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on April 17?$0.03Apr 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on April 17?$0.00Apr 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on April 17?$0.03Apr 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on April 17?$0.74Apr 17, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on April 17?$0.03Apr 17, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on April 17?$0.03Apr 17, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on April 17?$0.03Apr 17, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on April 17?$0.03Apr 17, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on April 17?$0.03Apr 17, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on April 17?$0.03Apr 17, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on April 17?$0.03Apr 17, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on April 17?$0.16Apr 17, 21:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 20:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 22:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.