Nocturnal-Relay
0x71764ed999e23d577044c4c1883e3199727abd58
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-357.74
Realised
$-143.84
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 8?
271 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.46
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 13?
270 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.30 on January 8?
267 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.34
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 3?
262 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.71
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 13?
260 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 8?
258 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.58
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 10?
257 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.08
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 19?
227 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 31?
219 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.73
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on January 26?
195 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.32
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 30?$99.51Jul 30, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 30?$21.45Jul 30, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 30?$0.19Jul 29, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 30?$76.08Jul 29, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 8?$31.29Jul 8, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 8?$2.07Jul 8, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 2?$3.25Jul 2, 00:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?$72.08Jun 5, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?$70.71Jun 4, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 4?$1.94Jun 3, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 26?$74.36May 26, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 26?$71.16May 25, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 19?$81.52May 19, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 19?$78.83May 18, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 17?$2.73May 16, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 14?$2.69May 13, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 10?$78.57May 10, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 10?$75.82May 9, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 Week of April 13 2026?$15.99May 9, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 28?$2.66Apr 28, 09:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $28.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 06:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 16:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.