Beloved-Deformation
0x717adc54a87ca8fe2058e9b0b2efd71dda98e1d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-72.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will RFK Jr. win >7% of the popular vote?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Michelle Obama become Dem Nominee?
401 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Alexandre de Moraes impeached in September?
379 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
RFK Jr. wins a state?
357 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?
227 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Trump in jail before election day?
182 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Walz's brother attends Trump rally in September?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Starmer out as UK prime minister in 2024?
102 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Brazilian Judge Moraes arrested in September?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin above $60,000 on September 6?$0.00Sep 20, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?$0.00Sep 20, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMFed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting?$0.00Sep 20, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWalz and Vance debate on Sept 18?$0.00Sep 20, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" during Hannity town hall?$0.00Sep 6, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Bitcoin" or "BTC" during Hannity town hall?$0.00Sep 6, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out as UK prime minister in 2024?$5.00Sep 6, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLFavorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?$5.00Sep 6, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazilian Judge Moraes arrested in September?$1.00Sep 5, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlexandre de Moraes impeached in September?$1.00Sep 5, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting?$10.00Sep 5, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. win >7% of the popular vote?$10.00Sep 5, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. wins a state?$5.00Sep 5, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWalz and Vance debate on Sept 18?$10.00Sep 5, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWalz's brother attends Trump rally in September?$10.00Sep 5, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama become Dem Nominee? $10.00Sep 5, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump in jail before election day?$10.00Sep 5, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlexandre de Moraes impeached in September?$10.00Sep 5, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$10.00Sep 5, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYFavorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?$5.00Sep 5, 15:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $9.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 5, 15:31 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 20, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".