Humongous-Dime
0x717e085e735ec51d47ea3595790a8bee92b16498
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$6.55
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
8000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-95.98
- YES
India-Pakistan declare war before June?
5170 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-312.33
- YES
Israeli ground operation against Fordow before August?
1878 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-186.86
- YES
Will India invade Pakistan before July?
1867 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-332.05
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?
928 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.82
- YES
China x India military clash by June 30?
522 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-32.13
- YES
Trump x Khamenei talk before July?
500 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
US military action on Yemen before July?
90 shares @ 37.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-33.94
- YES
Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before July?
30 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?$0.40Jan 20, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?$0.01Jan 20, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?$9.89Jan 20, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?$23.15Jan 19, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?$0.32Jan 19, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?$0.18Jan 19, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$83.98Jan 16, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$12.00Jan 16, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli ground operation against Fordow before August?$12.09Jun 26, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli ground operation against Fordow before August?$5.60Jun 25, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli ground operation against Fordow before August?$2.52Jun 25, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli ground operation against Fordow before August?$100.00Jun 25, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli ground operation against Fordow before August?$99.00Jun 25, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$234.04Jun 25, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$99.00Jun 23, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMAnother India military strike on Pakistan by Friday?$0.00Jun 22, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$4.72Jun 22, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$229.00Jun 22, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$330.00Jun 22, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUY US military action on Yemen before July?$33.94Jun 22, 12:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $81.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 20:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 20, 04:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.