Nutty-Equinox
0x718b94499b17f55e3890f8846207422e2fa571d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-880.65
Realised
$14.45
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
481 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-17.78
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.20
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 24?
110 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.32
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
84 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
61 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-18.78
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
57 shares @ 22.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-12.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
52 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
50 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.08
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11PM ET
48 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-8.73
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Jul 22, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Jul 22, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$1.03Jul 22, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$1.04Jul 22, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$1.05Jul 22, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$1.04Jul 22, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2AM ET$1.04Jul 22, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2AM ET$1.05Jul 22, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$2.13Jul 22, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$0.00Jul 22, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$1.05Jul 22, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$1.05Jul 22, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$3.05Jul 22, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$1.05Jul 22, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$0.00Jul 22, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$5.89Jul 22, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.05Jul 22, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.05Jul 22, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$0.00Jul 22, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$4.13Jul 22, 05:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 09:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 08:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.