Negligible-Tophat
0x718d2281d88477f1f011f0092c6fd8ca4c1d2b46
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$677.61
Total PnL
$-8.1K
Realised
$-180.34
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
435 shares @ 29.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$345.82
$219.83
- NO
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
80 shares @ 45.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$62.80
$26.80
- JUSTIN GAETHJE
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
300 shares @ 20.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$58.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?
1200 shares @ 3.8¢·now 3.6¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$43.20
$-2.40
- YES
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?
1000 shares @ 4.1¢·now 3.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$35.40
$-5.60
- UNDER
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5
60 shares @ 67.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$35.10
$-5.10
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 38.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.50
$-11.50
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
200 shares @ 13.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
400 shares @ 5.1¢·now 4.3¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$17.36
$-3.04
- YES
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 10.8¢·exp Nov 12, 2026$12.67
$-7.33
Recent activity
- REDEEMColorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5$30.00Jun 14, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5$40.20Jun 14, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5$15.22Jun 14, 01:18 UTC
- REDEEMHouston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5$30.00Jun 14, 01:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5$24.00Jun 13, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-2.5)$43.20Jun 13, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5$17.92Jun 13, 22:41 UTC
- REDEEMSeattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5$20.00Jun 13, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$37.43Jun 13, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5$11.55Jun 13, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLSeattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5$12.54Jun 13, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5$11.19Jun 13, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Switzerland (-1.5)$74.06Jun 13, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5$13.38Jun 13, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5$13.86Jun 13, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5$15.22Jun 13, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5$13.38Jun 13, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5$13.38Jun 13, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-5.5)$41.40Jun 13, 16:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $25.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 15:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.