Formal-Bandolier
0x719019b170f33e819763fb52637b6f1efbd000b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$38.60
Total PnL
$-64.53
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?
39 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$38.60
$8.88
- YES
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?
50 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-43.42
- YES
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-10?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
26 shares @ 38.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
13 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$27.29Jan 10, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$2.43Jan 10, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$5.54Jan 10, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$6.14Jan 10, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$24.57Jan 10, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-10?$10.00Jan 10, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$7.16Jan 10, 12:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$129.77Dec 25, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$100.00Dec 10, 10:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$21.30Dec 8, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$9.99Dec 7, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$10.00Dec 7, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$10.00Dec 7, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$9.99Dec 7, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro out in 2025?$9.87Dec 3, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$0.77Dec 3, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$0.46Dec 3, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?$108.00Dec 3, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?$56.65Nov 6, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?$56.00Nov 6, 05:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $17.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 15:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 10, 22:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.