Idealistic-Gig
0x71a6cf3f8c2c3b60ad007536861d356c6f70b4d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.6K
Realised
$-159.87
Win rate
0%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
53202 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-957.62
- YES
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?
7692 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-999.99
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
2859 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-486.11
- OVER
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 2.5
2718 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-632.34
- PORTUGAL
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
2198 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?
1950 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-156.00
- OVER
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
1379 shares @ 36.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- UNITED STATES
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
1290 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-683.74
- GERMANY
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
1090 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-632.27
- YES
South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score
1064 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$59.73Jul 14, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5$0.05Jul 10, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5$273.13Jul 10, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5$273.00Jul 10, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5$199.07Jul 10, 20:06 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 9, 21:43 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.78Jul 9, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$509.56Jul 9, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?$102.70Jul 7, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-07-07?$102.46Jul 7, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?$900.19Jul 7, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?$463.46Jul 7, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?$498.90Jul 7, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 AND Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?$499.99Jul 7, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$693.38Jul 6, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-06?$305.67Jul 6, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$498.21Jul 6, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 5.5 AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?$250.00Jul 6, 18:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 30, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance$640.24Jun 29, 23:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $409.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 21:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 20:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.