These-Compromise
0x71a70f24538d885d1b45f9cea158a2cdf2e56fcf
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
157
Open notional
$14.7K
Total PnL
$-102.7K
Realised
$30.1K
Win rate
82%
99 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 157- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 31?
13978 shares @ 49.3¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.5K
$-393.99
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 28?
3981 shares @ 32.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$4.0K
$2.7K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on July 28?
1580 shares @ 81.5¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$1.6K
$264.74
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on July 29?
1070 shares @ 91.9¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.0K
$59.37
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 28?
963 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$962.86
$24.57
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 1?
364 shares @ 93.1¢·now 96.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$350.59
$11.58
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 28?
61 shares @ 95.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$60.77
$2.58
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 29?
54 shares @ 90.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$53.36
$4.63
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 1?
71 shares @ 56.9¢·now 56.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$39.86
$-0.65
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on July 28?
31 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$31.23
$0.98
Recent activity
- MERGEWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 31?$161.68Jul 28, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 31?$72.76Jul 28, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 28?$184.37Jul 28, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 28?$16.00Jul 28, 06:05 UTC
- MERGEEthereum Up or Down on July 28?$2.3KJul 28, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 28?$1.60Jul 28, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 28?$3.24Jul 28, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 28?$1.60Jul 28, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 28?$1.60Jul 28, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 28?$232.70Jul 28, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 28?$28.48Jul 28, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 28?$2.35Jul 28, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 28?$36.80Jul 28, 06:04 UTC
- MERGEEthereum Up or Down on July 28?$626.14Jul 28, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 28?$9.60Jul 28, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 28?$1.60Jul 28, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 28?$1.60Jul 28, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 28?$1.60Jul 28, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 28?$2.24Jul 28, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 28?$6.21Jul 28, 06:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
70/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
82% win rate over 99 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 2 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
99 closed markets, 82% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 2?
$8.6K · 52% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $47.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 06:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 06:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 99 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.