Enchanting-Texture
0x71abe97b83eaba3f06cb04fd4d9a03ee37d2f015
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
79
Open notional
$114.0K
Total PnL
$25.6K
Realised
$18.7K
Win rate
63%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
20320 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$19.7K
$991.75
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
17059 shares @ 76.9¢·now 77.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$13.2K
$101.16
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
12500 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.3K
$280.77
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
10799 shares @ 80.4¢·now 83.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$9.0K
$337.94
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
9503 shares @ 91.5¢·now 91.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.7K
$-36.23
- NO
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
7407 shares @ 79.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$6.8K
$887.92
- NO
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
7641 shares @ 72.4¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.4K
$847.22
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
12215 shares @ 35.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.3K
$1.0K
- NO
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
5716 shares @ 85.5¢·now 88.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.1K
$199.26
- NO
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
5402 shares @ 63.6¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.4K
$940.97
Recent activity
- REDEEMIran full airspace closure by July 24?$6.6KJul 25, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit $4.50 (High) by July 31?$6.34Jul 25, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$120.00Jul 25, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$160.00Jul 25, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$160.00Jul 25, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$200.00Jul 25, 00:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.47Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$25.24Jul 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$158.02Jul 24, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$606.69Jul 24, 21:37 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$0.00Jul 24, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$45.27Jul 24, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$404.99Jul 24, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$86.05Jul 24, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$23.71Jul 24, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?$720.23Jul 24, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$55.66Jul 24, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$376.58Jul 24, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$208.68Jul 24, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$33.42Jul 24, 15:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
63% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $245.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 21:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 06:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.