Torn-Footnote
0x71ac580ecb4931aa8b1c137d7ae6dd93d634ed29
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-471.28
Realised
$-8.58
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- KARMINE CORP
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner
600 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
400 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- FRANCE
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
160 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-96.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
100 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
100 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
100 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-72.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
100 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
100 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner$2.43Jul 19, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner$0.57Jul 19, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$15.32Jul 16, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$18.11Jul 16, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$3.18Jul 16, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$30.00Jul 16, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$19.68Jul 16, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$19.00Jul 16, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$13.30Jul 16, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$9.00Jul 16, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$7.35Jul 16, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$97.92Jul 12, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$120.00Jul 12, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$117.15Jul 12, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$91.47Jul 12, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$100.49Jul 12, 02:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$130.69Jul 12, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$100.20Jul 11, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$100.24Jul 10, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$75.88Jul 10, 11:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $21.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 09:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 15:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.