Flawed-Use
0x71af650975941e5811a82d46c6d9636d10446b3d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 17-20, 2026?
1019 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-161.65
- YES
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
971 shares @ 40.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-394.11
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
908 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-372.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on March 23?
380 shares @ 76.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-290.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 14?
250 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
156 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-93.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 6?
141 shares @ 58.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-81.98
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 6?
100 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
97 shares @ 82.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-80.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on March 22?
58 shares @ 42.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-24.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?$379.03Jun 30, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Argentina (-2.5)$160.49Jun 28, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Argentina (-2.5)$305.22Jun 28, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Argentina (-2.5)$119.71Jun 28, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Argentina (-2.5)$305.04Jun 28, 01:53 UTC
- TRADESELLColombia vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5$66.09Jun 28, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5$10.51Jun 27, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5$0.65Jun 27, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5$26.58Jun 27, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5$26.58Jun 27, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5$26.58Jun 27, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5$19.15Jun 27, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLColombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score in First Half$39.82Jun 27, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score in First Half$76.10Jun 27, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5$108.98Jun 27, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLNew Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5$113.18Jun 27, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5$305.13Jun 27, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMCabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5$377.78Jun 27, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYCabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5$69.67Jun 27, 00:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUruguay vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First Half$68.60Jun 27, 00:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $84.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 06:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.