0x71b3e3be5fb4b9e76667e6e647c1617acd28b8ca
0x71b3e3be5fb4b9e76667e6e647c1617acd28b8ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$51.00
Total PnL
$-7.3K
Realised
$-448.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
51 shares @ 5.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$51.00
$48.42
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
7298 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-4.7K
- YES
Will Trump say "mog" in 2024?
4213 shares @ 16.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-699.33
- YES
Will Trump say a slur during the debate?
4000 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-480.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2000 shares @ 48.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-972.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64
51 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-2.58
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14
51 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-2.58
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+
51 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-2.58
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214
51 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-2.58
- YES
Democrats and Republicans both lose the 2024 Presidential Election?
51 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.58
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.15Oct 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$2.6KOct 16, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$3.25Oct 16, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$13.40Oct 16, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$8.61Oct 16, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$11.65Oct 16, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$12.08Oct 16, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$11.99Oct 16, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$10.34Oct 16, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$10.79Oct 16, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$10.90Oct 16, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$845.19Oct 16, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$585.00Oct 16, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$3.25Oct 16, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$3.25Oct 16, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$0.99Oct 16, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$569.86Oct 16, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMFavorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?$1.3KOct 16, 04:41 UTC
- REWARD$0.14Sep 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFavorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?$360.60Sep 11, 03:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 23, 01:10 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 17, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.