Defiant-Vane
0x71b5d8b485b0c403e1917598341b583a3b4624bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
149
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-250.19
Realised
$-5.74
Win rate
17%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 149- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on March 24?
1030 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on March 25?
283 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.52
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 25?
243 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on March 30?
48 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on March 25?
45 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on March 25?
45 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 3°C on March 27?
44 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 25?
37 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 65°F or below on March 29?
37 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.29
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on March 25?
37 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$0.29Jun 3, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$1.04Jun 3, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$1.05Jun 3, 02:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$0.64Jun 3, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$1.05Jun 3, 01:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.05Jun 3, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.26Jun 2, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.02Jun 2, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$0.14Jun 2, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$1.03Jun 2, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$0.26Jun 2, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$1.03Jun 2, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$0.19Jun 2, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$1.02Jun 2, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$1.29Jun 2, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$1.02Jun 2, 22:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$2.47Jun 2, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$1.04Jun 2, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$0.71Jun 2, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.02Jun 2, 21:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 17:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 02:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".