Specific-Moody
0x71b89bae9aa25372c4653de8380d1dcb7d3ea85d
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
132
Open notional
$24.19
Total PnL
$-972.12
Realised
$-1.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 132- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in July?
30 shares @ 33.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$16.35
$6.45
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in July?
60 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$4.50
$-0.30
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
10 shares @ 34.0¢·now 21.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.12
$-1.28
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in July?
30 shares @ 38.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.08
$-10.32
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.10
$-3.90
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.04
$-6.44
- NO
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
149 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.37
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (HIGH) in March 2026?
100 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?
100 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?
100 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?$20.00Jul 28, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$4.18Jul 27, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?$11.60Jul 27, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$6.74Jul 27, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in July?$4.98Jul 26, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in July?$11.68Jul 26, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?$40.00Jul 24, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in July?$9.90Jul 24, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 21?$30.00Jul 21, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $205-$210 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 20 – Jul 24?$11.52Jul 21, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$6.24Jul 21, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $755 Week of July 20 2026?$10.77Jul 21, 10:28 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 20?$40.00Jul 20, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 21?$11.40Jul 20, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 21, 2026?$3.72Jul 20, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 20?$3.75Jul 20, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 20?$8.38Jul 18, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 20?$12.82Jul 18, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?$1.56Jun 16, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?$1.52Jun 16, 09:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $4.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 11:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 13:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.