Outlandish-Octavo
0x71b99044de70c25d3c22a84bdc9658c9ca149947
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?
9 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?
9 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Russia capture Siversk before May?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- NO
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
8 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Strike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base in June?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Udachne before July?
7 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Mykolaivka before July?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Gold missing from Fort Knox?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?$4.54Jan 1, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Yunakivka before August?$2.00Jul 19, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrike on Israel's Dimonah nuclear base in June?$1.00Jun 18, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by June 30?$0.00Jun 18, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by June 30?$1.49Jun 18, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Udachne before July?$2.00Jun 1, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by June 30?$1.00Jun 1, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Yablunivka before July?$1.00Jun 1, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Mykolaivka before July?$1.00Jun 1, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?$1.00May 25, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Siversk by August 31?$1.00May 25, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?$1.00May 25, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?$1.00Apr 21, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Siversk before May?$1.01Mar 22, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovsk by June 30?$1.01Mar 22, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?$1.01Mar 22, 23:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?$1.02Mar 22, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$2.97Mar 17, 22:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion?$1.00Mar 17, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold missing from Fort Knox?$1.00Feb 17, 22:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $0.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 24, 19:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 1, 07:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".