Our-Costume
0x71bbf421ed560a7436a47dabbf5954be7f29c9d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$8.15
Total PnL
$-1.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.92
$0.92
- YES
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.82
$0.82
- YES
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.52
$0.52
- YES
Will Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.45
$0.45
- YES
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$1.45
$0.45
- YES
"Freakier Friday" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 50–69%?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Deal" 25+ times during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Grok 5 released by December 31?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?
1 shares @ 69.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Deal" 25+ times during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?$1.00Sep 17, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$1.00Sep 3, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 5 released by December 31?$1.00Aug 26, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.00Aug 14, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?$1.00Aug 6, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?$1.00Jul 29, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?$1.00Jul 24, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUY"Freakier Friday" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 50–69%?$1.00Jul 24, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?$1.00Jul 15, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$1.00Jul 9, 10:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 10:48 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 17, 11:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".