Measly-Discussion
0x71c28a01c532344e263f431b2b140685a75e735d
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$43.70
Total PnL
$-441.22
Realised
$26.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
564 shares @ 1.8¢·now 3.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.20
$7.20
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
400 shares @ 2.5¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$13.40
$3.40
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
565 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.04
$-0.96
- YES
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 3.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.85
$-7.15
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
810 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.22
$-8.78
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
4293 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Trump out as President in 2025?
2045 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1449 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
1406 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-69.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.39Jun 12, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$5.20Jun 12, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$10.40Jun 12, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$5.20Jun 11, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$12.32Jun 11, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.06Jun 11, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?$10.39Jun 11, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ray McAdam win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$0.00Jun 10, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.00Jun 10, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?$0.00Jun 10, 19:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ireland win on 2026-06-09?$0.00Jun 10, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$21.95Jun 10, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.39Jun 10, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ireland win on 2026-06-09?$5.15Jun 9, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$39.49Jun 9, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.39Jun 9, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$19.15Jun 5, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?$20.77Jun 3, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.39Jun 2, 19:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0.00Jun 2, 19:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $14.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 14:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 19:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.