Extraneous-Proponent-Snuck
0x71cc1b2a2180e25871f93250cfdcd591e111056e
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$207.57
Total PnL
$-675.26
Realised
$-17.01
Win rate
0%
8 closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
209 shares @ 71.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$207.57
$57.57
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
745 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
216 shares @ 69.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
185 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
179 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
89 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.00
$-65.82
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
58 shares @ 69.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
36 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
29 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$152.95Aug 19, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$200.00Aug 19, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$152.63Aug 19, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$153.20Aug 19, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$194.54Aug 19, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET$152.40Aug 19, 15:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$170.20Aug 19, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$151.25Aug 19, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$151.99Aug 19, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$233.77Aug 19, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$153.76Aug 19, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$22.99Aug 19, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$20.18Aug 19, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$175.85Aug 19, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$151.54Aug 19, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$164.15Aug 19, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$150.90Aug 19, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$92.37Aug 19, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$51.61Aug 19, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$79.33Aug 19, 13:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $111.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 19, 12:01 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 15:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.