0x71d0b4bc3dd52bc56744e503dfceb5c03ec5b73a
0x71d0b4bc3dd52bc56744e503dfceb5c03ec5b73a
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$160.46
Total PnL
$-974.54
Realised
$-33.70
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on July 29?
161 shares @ 64.7¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$104.16
$-0.32
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on July 29?
34 shares @ 91.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$30.02
$-1.20
- NO
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?
31 shares @ 87.9¢·now 68.8¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$21.30
$-5.89
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$4.98
$0.03
- NO
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
2307 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-37.64
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C or higher on April 8?
1313 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-13.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 3?
893 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-107.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C or below on June 30?
685 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-21.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 29?
593 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-78.81
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 30?
299 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.35
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on July 29?$1.78Jul 29, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on July 29?$1.78Jul 29, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on July 29?$3.11Jul 29, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on July 29?$1.78Jul 29, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on July 29?$35.56Jul 29, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on July 29?$1.78Jul 29, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on July 29?$1.78Jul 29, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on July 29?$5.33Jul 29, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on July 29?$6.40Jul 29, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on July 29?$5.12Jul 29, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on July 29?$5.33Jul 29, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on July 29?$7.68Jul 29, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on July 29?$7.68Jul 29, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on July 29?$31.36Jul 29, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on July 29?$6.52Jul 29, 04:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 28?$46.53Jul 28, 22:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 28?$50.22Jul 28, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 28?$117.53Jul 28, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on July 29?$13.15Jul 28, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 28?$2.14Jul 28, 15:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $15.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 07:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 07:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.