Optimistic-Outlay
0x71f5d96fd4340f1828998d8693eb292ca7d6116e
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$153.75
Total PnL
$-5.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
162 shares @ 95.8¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$153.75
$-1.38
- KOPYLOV
UFC 322: Kopylov vs. Rodrigues (Middleweight, Prelims)
11207 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-4.3K
- 49ERS
Seahawks vs. 49ers
3349 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?
143 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-120.05
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$155.13Jun 11, 14:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$154.94May 29, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$95.78May 21, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$49.87May 21, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?$146.07May 1, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?$140.81Apr 12, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?$140.81Apr 9, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?$117.80Mar 25, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?$20.61Mar 25, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$138.42Mar 24, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$103.50Mar 3, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$30.91Mar 3, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?$134.41Mar 3, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?$122.72Feb 11, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$122.71Feb 6, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$56.82Jan 12, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$60.62Jan 12, 10:17 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$117.44Jan 12, 10:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $251.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 05:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.