Elementary-Crude
0x71fc41b2652dc0195052777a8d914724278de378
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$6.75
Total PnL
$-17.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
70 shares @ 13.0¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.75
$-2.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
14282 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-7.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
2389 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
2389 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
2388 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
2387 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
2386 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
2380 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
2379 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
2371 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.10Mar 24, 01:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Kidnapped: Elizabeth Smart" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (February 3)$9.12Mar 24, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Kidnapped: Elizabeth Smart" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (February 3)$9.10Feb 3, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.08Feb 3, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.02Jan 7, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google One be #1 Grossing App in Play Store on December 19?$1.03Jan 7, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.04Jan 7, 08:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.07Jan 7, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google One be #1 Grossing App in Play Store on December 19?$1.00Dec 17, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Dec 11, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.00Dec 4, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.00Nov 28, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$2.2KNov 11, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$137.50Nov 11, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$0.00Nov 11, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$0.00Nov 11, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$2.4KNov 11, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$0.00Nov 11, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$0.00Nov 11, 07:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $715.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 05:54 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 01:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.