Milky-Clogs
0x720618a4675df2548afedc7fbcd0c630515f4710
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$89.41
Total PnL
$-38.79
Realised
$-0.99
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on August 20?
5 shares @ 46.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$4.99
$2.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 20?
5 shares @ 47.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$4.98
$2.63
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 20?
5 shares @ 45.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$4.13
$1.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on August 21?
5 shares @ 47.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$3.28
$0.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 21?
5 shares @ 45.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$3.20
$0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 21?
5 shares @ 45.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$3.18
$0.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on August 21?
5 shares @ 48.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$3.02
$0.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 21?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$2.83
$0.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 21?
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$2.71
$0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on August 21?
5 shares @ 48.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$2.71
$0.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 21?$2.42Aug 20, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 21?$2.57Aug 20, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 21?$1.71Aug 20, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 21?$2.62Aug 20, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 21?$2.32Aug 20, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Taipei be 21°C or below on August 21?$0.11Aug 20, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C or below on August 21?$2.52Aug 20, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 22°C or below on August 21?$2.36Aug 20, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 20?$5.01Aug 20, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 30°C on August 21?$2.36Aug 20, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 21?$2.57Aug 20, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 20?$5.01Aug 20, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 20?$5.01Aug 20, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 20?$5.00Aug 20, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 20?$2.79Aug 20, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 21?$2.62Aug 20, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 20?$0.00Aug 20, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 20?$5.01Aug 20, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on August 21?$2.42Aug 20, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 21?$2.37Aug 20, 10:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 20, 04:17 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 22:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.