Distant-Invitation
0x720f634c536c260da2812ef6d50bf5c53779f7fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-137.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on October 10?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $180 on October 10?
1000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Trump talk to Benjamin Netanyahu in October?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 16?
14 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-09-24?
14 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 24, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Cagliari win on 2025-09-27?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-09-25?
6 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- SABRES
Sabres vs. Flyers
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DUKE
Georgia Tech vs. Duke
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- LOUISIANA TECH
Spread: Louisiana Tech (-6.5)
3 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$30.43Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$30.02Jun 25, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Alter Ego (BO3) - Asia Championships Closed Qualifier Playoffs$0.00May 1, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 13?$0.00May 1, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Alter Ego (BO3) - Asia Championships Closed Qualifier Playoffs$2.35May 1, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 13?$10.01May 1, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$5.03May 1, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Alter Ego (BO3) - Asia Championships Closed Qualifier Playoffs$2.00Mar 12, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$5.00Mar 12, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 13?$10.00Mar 12, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 16?$13.00Feb 15, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Resorts World receive a license for Resorts World New York City expansion in Queens?$11.02Jan 26, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Resorts World receive a license for Resorts World New York City expansion in Queens?$11.00Dec 11, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of November 24 above $195?$20.09Dec 11, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of November 24 above $195?$20.00Nov 25, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on November 19?$55.66Nov 25, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 42-43°F on November 19?$55.55Nov 19, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on November 18?$55.55Nov 19, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on November 18?$55.49Nov 18, 17:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of November 10 above $240?$55.05Nov 18, 17:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $21.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 9, 16:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.