Icky-Rubber
0x7212e1b304b450045c03b94d38832fe0772ef30d
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$242.45
Total PnL
$-220.04
Realised
$-2.90
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
2890 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$59.25
$-12.62
- YES
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?
1364 shares @ 4.4¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$55.23
$-4.77
- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
200 shares @ 49.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$49.00
$-49.00
- YES
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?
1375 shares @ 3.2¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$44.69
$0.69
- YES
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
480 shares @ 3.7¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$17.50
$-0.29
- YES
Will Yaxel Lendeborg win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?
730 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp May 31, 2027$16.79
$-5.11
- GERMANY
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
70 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- NETHERLANDS
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
66 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- JAPAN
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance
56 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?
44 shares @ 70.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-31.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?$16.54Jul 28, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?$51.06Jul 22, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yaxel Lendeborg win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?$21.90Jul 21, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$100.50Jul 17, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$33.27Jul 16, 00:56 UTC
- REWARD$1.18Jul 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?$2.00Jul 13, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?$9.60Jul 13, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?$9.12Jul 13, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?$0.45Jul 13, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$16.77Jul 13, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$67.12Jul 13, 05:25 UTC
- REWARD$3.60Jul 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?$21.60Jul 12, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?$15.12Jul 11, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?$36.89Jul 10, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?$22.13Jul 9, 07:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?$92.52Jul 9, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?$17.66Jul 9, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$3.76Jul 9, 05:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $36.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 14:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.