Elated-Confectionery
0x7217cd173cfbc4d37b8a5d7efcbc8ed98b4d8b49
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-814.44
Win rate
0%
39 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
721 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.14
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
680 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-333.18
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
576 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-164.69
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
500 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-136.82
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
459 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-160.74
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
307 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-106.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
146 shares @ 35.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-52.24
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
145 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-43.36
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
142 shares @ 37.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-52.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$7.76Jul 18, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$7.98Jul 18, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$7.53Jul 18, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$1.32Jul 18, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$3.17Jul 18, 09:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$8.42Jul 18, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$8.03Jul 18, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$8.43Jul 18, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$7.56Jul 18, 09:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$7.70Jul 18, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$7.16Jul 18, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$7.37Jul 18, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$7.17Jul 18, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$7.16Jul 18, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$7.13Jul 18, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$7.07Jul 18, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$7.00Jul 18, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$7.37Jul 18, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$6.94Jul 18, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$41.78Jul 18, 09:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 39 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
39 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $9.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 05:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 09:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 39 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.