Zealous-Approval
0x721b6a9ef5eac74acfa1af78bb39ee07c0842019
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-210.42
Realised
$5.66
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
151 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-55.25
- YES
Will Japan win the 2023 Women's World Cup?
100 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2023$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will Manchester City be the 2022-23 Premier League champions?
99 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2023$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?
94 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-7.48
- YES
Will Liz Truss remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through 2022?
59 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2022$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Man City win the Premier League?
55 shares @ 45.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2024$0.00
$-25.05
- NO
[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
50 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 10, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
43 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
538: Will voters prefer Republicans over Democrats by Election Day?
34 shares @ 58.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2022$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2023 Women's World Cup?
25 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2023$0.00
$-7.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMLiverpool wins the Premier League?$29.88Jul 1, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?$7.48Oct 22, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiverpool wins the Premier League?$7.50Oct 22, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$21.41Aug 25, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year?$0.00Aug 25, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win the 2022 World Cup?$0.01Aug 25, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$30.00Aug 7, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$20.00Aug 7, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Biden finish his term?$22.53Aug 7, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$53.19Aug 7, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$20.00Jul 25, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$50.00Jul 25, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$51.00Jul 25, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWho Gets Sacked First: Erik ten Hag or Mauricio Pochettino?$21.99May 15, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2023 Women's World Cup?$50.71May 15, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWho Gets Sacked First: Erik ten Hag or Mauricio Pochettino?$5.30Feb 5, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWho Gets Sacked First: Erik ten Hag or Mauricio Pochettino?$15.90Feb 4, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill USA win the 2023 Women's World Cup?$0.00Jan 20, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Man City win the Premier League?$15.05Jan 14, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Man City win the Premier League?$10.00Jan 14, 14:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $18.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 30, 00:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 22:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.