Forked-Railroad
0x721fd3dac386b15433191208804d437aa88b59ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$277.69
Total PnL
$-367.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
130 shares @ 77.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$129.74
$29.74
- YES
Will Trump send the national guard to Chicago by December 31?
101 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$101.25
$1.25
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14?
26 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$25.97
$5.97
- YES
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?
21 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$20.73
$0.73
- YES
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
22570 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-179.98
- YES
Will any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
10000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
10000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
1500 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-76.00
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?
1477 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-29.54
- NO
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025
250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?$20.00Nov 9, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025$20.00Oct 12, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$100.00Oct 6, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump send the national guard to Chicago by December 31?$100.00Oct 6, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$20.00Oct 4, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 10-14?$20.00Oct 4, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Comey arrested by October 31?$20.00Oct 4, 21:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $251.98Nov 6, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$1.3KNov 6, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?$49.20Nov 5, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$30.86Nov 5, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?$48.76Nov 5, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?$160.99Nov 5, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?$49.00Aug 23, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders speak at the DNC?$0.00Aug 22, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders speak at the DNC?$0.00Aug 22, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michelle Obama speak at the DNC?$4.0KAug 22, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie Sanders speak at the DNC?$29.42Aug 18, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Obama speak at the DNC?$4.0KAug 18, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?$24.72Aug 14, 14:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $343.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 9, 19:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".