Sweaty-Task
0x72209ee5a5d3bd942e65adcc2f1ad55daac776b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-134.02
Realised
$21.08
Win rate
83%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
353 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
137 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?
120 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-13.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9PM ET
118 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
57 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8PM ET$12.08Jul 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7PM ET$1.06Jul 18, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7PM ET$13.18Jul 18, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7PM ET$10.07Jul 18, 23:51 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$0.00Jul 12, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$14.06Jul 12, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$14.20Jul 12, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$14.38Jul 12, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$1.05Jul 12, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$15.42Jul 12, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$13.88Jul 12, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$1.05Jul 12, 23:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$14.85Jul 12, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$13.44Jul 12, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.07Jul 12, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.37Jul 12, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.05Jul 12, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$0.87Jul 12, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$1.04Jul 12, 20:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $8.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 16:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.