Big-Hearted-Closet
0x72326c80ef93f0fa35e8c433617cbc1a5e1da16b
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
77
Open notional
$88.29
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-29.46
Win rate
27%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
633 shares @ 15.8¢·now 14.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$88.29
$-11.71
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
5000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
522 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-165.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
226 shares @ 43.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-98.49
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
149 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-29.81
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
137 shares @ 86.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-118.90
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
86 shares @ 92.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-79.89
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
82 shares @ 96.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-79.52
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
78 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-74.66
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
75 shares @ 91.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-69.03
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$103.37Jul 5, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$168.38May 1, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$0.00Apr 29, 12:06 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$0.00Apr 29, 12:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
27% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $62.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 09:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.