Multicolored-Request
0x7232d9d769025958e4b049d7c7ea666b1431b274
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-168.27
Realised
$9.28
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 6PM ET
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
386 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
357 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?
210 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 19, 10PM ET
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
131 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$0.00Apr 18, 03:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$0.00Apr 18, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$1.10Apr 18, 03:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$4.60Apr 18, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$1.40Apr 18, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$0.00Apr 4, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$4.90Apr 4, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$2.70Apr 4, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$4.69Apr 4, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$1.50Apr 4, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$2.30Apr 4, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$0.85Apr 4, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$2.37Apr 4, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$2.80Apr 4, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$0.15Apr 4, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$3.93Apr 4, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$3.00Apr 4, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$13.20Apr 3, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$5.40Apr 1, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$11.40Apr 1, 12:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $3.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 18:06 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 03:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.