Plump-Descendant
0x723581c29a104c6386ea17fe5c062593f1ebccbf
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-60.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance$24.00Jul 4, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance$22.60Jul 3, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLHamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?$385.95Jul 3, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?$381.80Jul 3, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election called by August 31, 2026?$385.40Jul 3, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by August 31, 2026?$389.50Jul 3, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?$238.68Jun 17, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?$237.81Jun 17, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?$238.43Jun 16, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?$239.19Jun 16, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)$30.90May 31, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)$29.10May 31, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Drobysheve by July 31?$40.00May 31, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Drobysheve by July 31?$41.60May 31, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Drobysheve by July 31?$42.40May 31, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Drobysheve by July 31?$39.20May 31, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?$12.35Apr 24, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?$415.15Apr 24, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?$427.50Apr 24, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Toronto FC (-2.5)$204.00Apr 5, 06:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $199.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 07:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 01:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.