Pale-Meeting
0x7237325af83ee5a6f6f1171057d5c7178e0524f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
48
Open notional
$35.67
Total PnL
$-110.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$35.67
$25.67
- YES
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$1.06Jun 17, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Patrick Reed win the 2026 U.S. Open?$5.15Jun 17, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Viktor Hovland win the 2026 U.S. Open?$5.15Jun 17, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 U.S. Open?$5.14Jun 17, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$5.13Jun 17, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$6.08May 22, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$2.14May 22, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$2.13May 22, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Borja Iglesias be included in Spain's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$10.20May 22, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.25May 22, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$0.00May 22, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$0.00May 22, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$2.13May 22, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$0.00May 22, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$10.81May 22, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$5.33May 22, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$4.18May 22, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$4.23May 21, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Maguire be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$5.15May 21, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fikayo Tomori be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$5.14May 21, 21:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 17:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 07:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.