0x7238bb6150b59754ea89fef550c3bf0aa003cbc1
0x7238bb6150b59754ea89fef550c3bf0aa003cbc1
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$81.00
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$66.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
600 shares @ 19.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$81.00
$-33.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
20000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-170.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
6493 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-569.99
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
3000 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-114.00
- NO
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
2000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-100.33
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
1905 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1818 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1073 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
1000 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-78.86
- YES
GPT ads by December 31?
1000 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-176.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Sabres$101.38May 19, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$180.00Jan 21, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$228.00Jan 21, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$114.00Dec 10, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the December meeting?$18.34Dec 7, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT ads by December 31?$176.21Dec 3, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$480.13Dec 3, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$60.00Dec 3, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?$100.00Dec 3, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$110.00Nov 28, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$263.71Nov 26, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$78.86Nov 25, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 13?$100.33Nov 13, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown end November 12?$599.40Nov 13, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 14?$11.00Nov 12, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 12?$198.00Nov 12, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$128.00Nov 5, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$470.00Nov 3, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?$1.2KNov 2, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?$36.99Nov 2, 03:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $168.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 02:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 02:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".