Wrong-Undershirt
0x724520ac6ab02cfa66010ef1e44b50b40232099d
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
86
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-8.14
Win rate
13%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- YES
Will MrBeast say "Chandler" during his next YouTube video?
84 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-12.32
- NO
Will "Iran" or "Iranian" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?
80 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-21.20
- NO
Will MrBeast say "Eliminate" or "Eliminated" during his next YouTube video?
80 shares @ 34.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-27.60
- NO
Will "Anthropic" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
80 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-13.20
- NO
Will MrBeast say "Subscriber" during his next YouTube video?
80 shares @ 52.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
- YES
Will "Government" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of June 8?
80 shares @ 76.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-61.19
- NO
Will "Comparison" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
80 shares @ 49.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-39.59
- YES
Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next YouTube video?
79 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-32.87
- NO
Will MrBeast say "Red Line" during his next YouTube video?
64 shares @ 42.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-27.40
- NO
Will MrBeast say "Dollar" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?
64 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-17.32
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?$55.91Aug 2, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Blue" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$11.70Aug 1, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill "SpaceX" be said 3+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$34.99Aug 1, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Constitution" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$16.00Aug 1, 01:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Stock Market" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$43.90Aug 1, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Europe" or "European" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$3.86Jul 31, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Europe" or "European" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$4.33Jul 31, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Blue" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$3.28Jul 30, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?$54.68Jul 29, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$4.33Jul 29, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Nvidia" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$0.29Jul 29, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "SpaceX" be said 3+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$4.09Jul 29, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "SpaceX" be said 3+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$4.56Jul 29, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "SpaceX" be said 3+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$0.26Jul 29, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 27?$54.00Jul 28, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill "People" be said 150+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 27?$21.50Jul 28, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill "World Cup" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 27?$64.70Jul 28, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Red" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 27?$73.20Jul 28, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Fuck" or "Fucking" be said 10+ times during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 27?$21.50Jul 28, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Left" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 27?$30.00Jul 28, 19:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
13% win rate over 24 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
24 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $5.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 02:24 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 08:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.