Competent-Might
0x7246d505df4de79df5a8766e7153ce34d2035a36
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$8.66
Total PnL
$-12.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
47 shares @ 15.4¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.50
$0.26
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
2216 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
2216 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
2216 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
2216 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
2211 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
2210 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
2210 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
2210 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.24Mar 17, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?$7.00Mar 17, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?$6.81Feb 3, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.03Feb 3, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMApple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?$1.01Jan 8, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMAnthropic acquired in 2025?$1.01Jan 8, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMBezos divorce in 2025?$1.02Jan 8, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYApple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?$1.00Dec 12, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.04Dec 5, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic acquired in 2025?$1.00Dec 5, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBezos divorce in 2025?$1.00Nov 29, 02:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$0.00Nov 21, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Nov 21, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$0.00Nov 21, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 21, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$0.00Nov 21, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$0.00Nov 21, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.00Nov 21, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$0.00Nov 21, 10:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $221.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 21, 09:31 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 11:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".