Imaginary-Ferret
0x724d6f363792d2be84c52c7b70e45be0e295e4da
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$77.26
Total PnL
$-93.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
383 shares @ 10.1¢·now 8.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$31.23
$-7.47
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?
25 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$20.87
$-0.13
- NO
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
72 shares @ 13.8¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.06
$-0.94
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
660 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.25
$-1.65
- YES
Will Portugal be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?
75 shares @ 13.4¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.85
$-2.15
- FRANCE
Spread: France (-3.5)
86 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UZBEKISTAN
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
61 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Croatia leading at halftime?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Elliot Anderson: 1+ assists
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$21.11Jun 24, 04:50 UTC
- REDEEMColombia to score first vs. DR Congo?$30.43Jun 24, 04:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYColombia to score first vs. DR Congo?$21.20Jun 23, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYElliot Anderson: 1+ assists$1.02Jun 23, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Portugal (-1.5)$20.40Jun 23, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?$10.26Jun 23, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Unbeaten Champion?$10.26Jun 23, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCroatia leading at halftime?$10.16Jun 23, 02:56 UTC
- REDEEMErling Haaland: 1+ goals$9.80Jun 23, 02:14 UTC
- TRADESELLErling Haaland: 2+ goals$5.42Jun 23, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)$20.36Jun 23, 01:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-3.5)$30.58Jun 22, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina to win the second half?$9.43Jun 22, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina to score first vs. Austria?$7.04Jun 22, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYErling Haaland: 2+ goals$3.07Jun 22, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYErling Haaland: 1+ goals$5.07Jun 22, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina to win the second half?$5.07Jun 22, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina to score first vs. Austria?$5.04Jun 22, 04:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $14.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 02:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 04:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.