Tan-Purr
0x7251b0540c35ecf2956922b35c8799988019d8b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$103.87
Total PnL
$-145.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?
44 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2025$44.44
$24.44
- YES
Will Trump and Elon say "COVID" during their Feb 18 interview?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2025$37.04
$27.04
- YES
Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?
22 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2025$22.39
$7.39
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?
630 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $3500 by February 28 2025?
195 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 14-21?
184 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 14-21?
143 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2025$0.00
$-39.75
- YES
Will Trump and Elon say "FEMA" during their Feb 18 interview?
31 shares @ 64.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?
23 shares @ 43.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Brian Armstrong say Trump 5+ times during his X space?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 14-21?$39.75Feb 19, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 14-21?$30.00Feb 18, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 500 times Feb 14-21?$80.00Feb 18, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?$15.00Feb 18, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Elon say "FEMA" during their Feb 18 interview?$20.00Feb 18, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Elon say "COVID" during their Feb 18 interview?$10.00Feb 18, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brian Armstrong say Trump 5+ times during his X space?$5.00Feb 18, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?$10.00Feb 18, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?$20.00Feb 18, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $3500 by February 28 2025?$10.00Feb 18, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?$10.00Feb 18, 02:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $22.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 02:59 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 02:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.