Acidic-Angora
0x72532d980ccb626be374df2bc5fded3444c19190
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-662.73
Realised
$-30.95
Win rate
49%
77 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
264 shares @ 80.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$233.64
$22.50
- YES
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
220 shares @ 54.0¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$160.25
$41.59
- NO
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?
92 shares @ 85.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$85.10
$6.25
- YES
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?
101 shares @ 64.3¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$84.84
$19.84
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 73.4¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$78.50
$5.14
- NO
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?
80 shares @ 77.6¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.79
$6.75
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
75 shares @ 90.8¢·now 89.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$66.75
$-1.35
- YES
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?
108 shares @ 36.5¢·now 49.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$52.92
$13.53
- NO
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?
56 shares @ 80.2¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.40
$5.46
- NO
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
53 shares @ 87.9¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.49
$1.92
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Svitle by September 30?$52.99Jul 23, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?$28.00Jul 23, 23:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?$26.00Jul 23, 23:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by September 30?$12.29Jul 23, 23:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMIran military action against a Gulf State on July 14?$6.00Jul 16, 00:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
49% win rate over 77 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
77 closed markets, 49% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $6.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 21:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 77 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.