0x725b224fcb2fe4a3cd9aa522ed128708c22f8016
0x725b224fcb2fe4a3cd9aa522ed128708c22f8016
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-25.6K
Realised
$-4.2K
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
27351 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-682.14
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
9000 shares @ 61.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.6K
- NO
Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score
7990 shares @ 58.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.7K
- YES
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?
6497 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-181.90
- NO
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score
5443 shares @ 40.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- MEXICO
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
5000 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- CZECHIA
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)
5000 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.4K
- OVER
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 12.5 Total Corners
2992 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-448.76
- NO
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score
2000 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals
1625 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-276.11
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.5KJul 20, 00:07 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Summer League: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Chicago Bulls$3.0KJul 18, 01:16 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.37Jul 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Summer League: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Chicago Bulls$600.00Jul 17, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Summer League: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Chicago Bulls$600.56Jul 17, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Summer League: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Chicago Bulls$9.44Jul 17, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Summer League: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Chicago Bulls$52.03Jul 17, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Summer League: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Chicago Bulls$547.44Jul 17, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Summer League: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Chicago Bulls$3.05Jul 17, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Summer League: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Chicago Bulls$7.48Jul 17, 22:49 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$19.37Jul 15, 00:46 UTC
- REWARD$3.68Jul 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.3KJul 14, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.3KJul 14, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMEcuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score$0.99Jul 13, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?$6.65Jul 11, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?$133.56Jul 11, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?$44.04Jul 11, 19:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.47Jul 9, 21:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $531.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 01:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.