Grandiose-Minority
0x725d6e239a94bd0de2ebc7e035f213873c510c3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$7.80
Total PnL
$12.62
Realised
$1.5K
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- REPUBLICAN
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
8 shares @ 57.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$7.80
$3.34
- YES
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022?
3373 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2022$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022?
41 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2022$0.00
$-0.29
- NO
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?
17 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2023$0.00
$-0.57
Recent activity
- MERGEWill Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?$1.7KDec 9, 16:10 UTC
- MERGEWill Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?$372.00Jul 20, 01:45 UTC
- MERGEWill Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?$53.33Jul 20, 01:44 UTC
- MERGE[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$343.51Jul 15, 05:19 UTC
- MERGEWill the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022?$320.51Jul 15, 05:18 UTC
- MERGEWill Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?$670.96Jul 15, 05:17 UTC
- MERGEWhich party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?$691.42Jul 15, 05:16 UTC
- MERGEWhich party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?$1.3KJul 15, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Twitter add an edit button by June 30?$500.00Jul 15, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Twitter add an edit button by June 30?$0.00Jul 15, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by July 1, 2022?$299.00Jul 15, 05:14 UTC
- MERGEWill Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022?$722.22Jul 15, 05:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25?$0.00May 18, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next recession in the US happen by Q4 2022?$353.74May 18, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election?$381.47May 18, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next recession in the US happen by Q1 2022?$638.50May 18, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Moscow Stock Exchange market (MOEX) open for trading by March 25, 2022?$0.00May 18, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25?$3.0KMay 18, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk tweet “Doge” or “Dogecoin” before March 19, 2022?$0.00Mar 16, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Moscow Stock Exchange market (MOEX) open for trading by March 11, 2022?$97.06Mar 12, 16:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 16, 22:26 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 9, 16:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".