Second-Puddle
0x725e1d1ffda293cb8ad67a773c82c001da71c8b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-185.26
Realised
$32.38
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- NO
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 30% in February?
8612 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?
1487 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei
466 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the US strike Iran next?
456 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
174 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
140 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-12.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
92 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
61 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-15.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$15.39Mar 18, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$5.00Mar 18, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$5.00Mar 18, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$5.00Mar 18, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$5.00Mar 18, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$5.00Mar 18, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$2.00Mar 18, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$1.00Mar 18, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$2.00Mar 18, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$10.61Mar 18, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$3.00Mar 18, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$2.00Mar 18, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$2.00Mar 18, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$2.00Mar 18, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$2.00Mar 18, 02:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $4.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 14:41 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 13:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.