Virtuous-Appropriation
0x7260729ad392e11463dc6b6d33a82a7914478dfa
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$3.02
Total PnL
$-28.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazers
3 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$3.02
$0.02
- NETS
Warriors vs. Nets
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- HAWKS
Hawks vs. Wizards
6 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- BULLS
Bulls vs. Hornets
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- CAVALIERS
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)
3 shares @ 58.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- PISTONS
Magic vs. Pistons
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Hawks
3 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- CLIPPERS
Grizzlies vs. Clippers
3 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- EAGLES
Bears vs. Eagles
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Trail Blazers$3.00Feb 2, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Wizards$2.50Feb 2, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Wizards$2.00Jan 4, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.12Jan 4, 06:44 UTC
- REDEEMHawks vs. Thunder$3.33Jan 4, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Nets$3.00Dec 30, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Thunder$3.00Dec 29, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.10Dec 11, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$2.10Dec 11, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?$2.22Dec 11, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win on 2025-11-29?$2.41Dec 11, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City win on 2025-11-29?$2.50Dec 11, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brentford win on 2025-11-29?$2.94Dec 11, 04:59 UTC
- REDEEMSuns vs. Thunder$2.22Nov 29, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. Lakers$2.44Nov 29, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMBucks vs. Knicks$2.74Nov 29, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEM76ers vs. Nets$2.82Nov 29, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWizards vs. Pacers$2.86Nov 29, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWizards vs. Pacers$2.00Nov 29, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mistral have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$2.00Nov 28, 15:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $2.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 25, 10:46 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 03:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.