Wallet digest

active

Activity score

57/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-832.62

Realised

$10.43

Win rate

67%

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 11

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8PM ET
574 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025
$0.00
$-150.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5AM ET
490 shares @ 71.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025
$0.00
$-350.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
260 shares @ 38.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025
$0.00
$-100.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9PM ET
174 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025
$0.00
$-50.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
169 shares @ 59.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025
$0.00
$-100.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
160 shares @ 31.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025
$0.00
$-50.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025
$0.00
$-10.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
49 shares @ 40.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025
$0.00
$-20.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
29 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025
$0.00
$-2.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025
$0.00
$-10.00

Recent activity

TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$108.89Oct 21, 15:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$100.00Oct 21, 15:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$10.00Oct 21, 15:05 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7AM ET$11.46Oct 21, 11:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7AM ET$10.00Oct 21, 10:59 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$2.00Oct 21, 08:08 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$0.76Oct 21, 08:05 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$2.00Oct 21, 08:03 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$5.00Oct 21, 08:01 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$4.20Oct 21, 08:00 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$1.05Oct 21, 07:54 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$102.66Oct 21, 07:53 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$100.00Oct 21, 07:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$100.00Oct 20, 12:51 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$99.87Oct 20, 12:42 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$100.00Oct 20, 12:40 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$132.02Oct 20, 12:36 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$83.32Oct 20, 12:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$100.00Oct 20, 12:30 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$110.00Oct 20, 12:29 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry45 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk55 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 49
Avg trade size: $77.73
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Oct 19, 01:40 UTC
Last active: Oct 21, 15:13 UTC
Win rate sample: 3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 22:08:34 UTC·src:Polymarket Data