0x72694db483511872f68f1003aa27a49bd4e90846
0x72694db483511872f68f1003aa27a49bd4e90846
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.61
Total PnL
$0.45
Realised
$0.65
Win rate
100%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 29?
10 shares @ 1.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.50
$0.40
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C or below on July 29?
10 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.05
$-0.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C on July 27?
10 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.03
$-0.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 28?
10 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.02
$-0.03
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on July 28?
10 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.01
$-0.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 27?
10 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.01
$-0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 28?
1 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 27?
2 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 27?
2 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 27?
2 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 34°C on July 27?$0.10Jul 27, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 28?$0.01Jul 27, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 29?$0.10Jul 27, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 28?$0.18Jul 27, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 28?$0.10Jul 27, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 15°C or below on July 29?$0.10Jul 27, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 21°C on July 28?$0.05Jul 27, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 28?$0.05Jul 26, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 27?$0.08Jul 26, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 27?$0.05Jul 26, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 27?$0.05Jul 26, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 26?$0.08Jul 26, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 27?$0.01Jul 26, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 27?$0.00Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 27?$0.01Jul 25, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 27?$0.01Jul 25, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 27?$0.01Jul 25, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 27?$0.01Jul 25, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 26?$0.05Jul 25, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 27?$0.18Jul 25, 08:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 06:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 11:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.